Monday, November 24, 2008

Nate Silver Calls It: Franken By 27 Votes

Uber-geek Nate Silver of calls the Minnesota Senate election for Franken by a nose:
...Franken will gain a net of .837 votes for every 10,000 cast. With a total of 2,885,555 ballots having been recorded in the initial count, this works out to a projected gain of 242 votes for Franken statewide. Since Norm Coleman led by 215 votes in the initial count, this suggests that Franken will win by 27 votes once the recount process is complete (including specifically the adjudication of all challenged ballots).

Cross your fingers!

No comments: